Yet
another winter storm is set to strike our region. A major nor’easter, which has been modeled
for several days now and referred to as the “Valentine’s Day Storm” for
reference, has its eyes on New Jersey after covering the Southeast in ice and
snow tomorrow. This is my first call
forecast for the storm, so it will be very general and just give a brief
overview and initial snow map. Here are
the main points:
The
first flurries/snow showers should move in Wednesday evening, with the main
portion of the storm entering around midnight.
The storm will roughly last 20-24 hours, so the last flakes should fly
on Thursday night. The rain/snow line,
which hasn’t been much of a factor at all this season, will likely come into
play for this storm and possibly limit snowfall amounts, especially the closer
to the coastline you are. Also, ice
accumulations in portions of NJ could be an additional issue.
Furthermore,
being a nor’easter with strong winds blowing off of the ocean, coastal flooding
could be a moderate concern with this winter storm. Winds inland will likely gust 20-30mph+, and
coastal areas could see gusts of 40-50mph+.
Snowfall-wise, it looks like the heaviest axis of snow will set up along
the I-95 corridor, and then snow amounts will likely decrease closer to the
shore due to the relatively warm, ocean air’s influence. The less mixing/rain, the higher the snowfall
totals will be, so areas closer to the coast do have the potential to have
decent accumulations if the rain/snow line doesn’t have a large influence.
I will
have a more detailed forecast and snow map by tomorrow afternoon, so stay
tuned! This was just a general overview.
*Snowfall map may be fine-tuned in a future post as this is just a first call and not my final forecast*
My First Call Snowfall Map
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