Mid-Atlantic Blizzard 24 Hours Away

    Blizzard Watches are now posted from Philadelphia to New York City (likely to become warnings for most by tomorrow), while Blizzard Warnings encompass large areas of Maryland and northern Virginia.  We're now roughly 24 hours from go-time in South Jersey, where the first flakes begin falling toward midnight tomorrow night.  The storm likely lasts for around 24-30 hours across the area and will bring a combination of wet and heavy snow, high winds, and coastal flooding/erosion (to the coast).  Below is a general depiction of the storm, from this afternoon's GFS, off of the Virginia coast, as it throws heavy snow bands and winds into New Jersey for the first half of Saturday.

This afternoon's GFS shows possible blizzard conditions for the first half of Saturday (tropicaltidbits.com)

Timing
Start time: 9pm through midnight from south to north across South Jersey
Heaviest: Overnight hours through Saturday afternoon (snowfall rates of 1-3" per hour likely); thundersnow is also a possibility, so keep an ear out for it!
End time: Still a bit uncertain, but snow looks to generally fizzle out late Saturday night

Impacts
    Overall, not much has changed in general since my last post in regard to the overview of the storm, so I'll just talk about the general impacts of this weekend's nor'easter:
-We'll see a heavy, wet snow out of this system, which will be tough to shovel and also weigh down on tree limbs, power lines, etc.
-Winds will be another major threat, as winds likely gust inland to 40-50 mph (20-30 mph sustained) and gust to 60+ mph along the coast
-The combination of heavy/wet snow and wind (possible blizzard conditions) could cause power outages across the state
-Very strong onshore winds, high tides, and a full moon will all combine to produce major coastal flooding which could devastate beaches and coastal communities

Snow Map
    There are still question marks in regard to snow totals despite my map not changing much since my first call.  The shore still likely sees less due to the threat of some mixing issues Saturday morning/early afternoon due to the strong onshore flow from the ocean.  As of now, the 'jackpot' area looks to be a strip of the state from Southwest Jersey through Central Jersey.  North Jersey, at this time, is on the border of a strong gradient between light accumulations and being in on plow-able snow.  Any shift north or south (there have been some very recent trends north) could either put North Jersey at even less snowfall or in on the high accumulations shown for the southern half of the state.  I'll have a final update tomorrow if needed!  

My Second Call Snow Map