Overview
Well, this storm
has been extremely frustrating to forecast, and it looks like this will be the
reversal of what we usually see in a Northeast/Mid-Atlantic snowstorm. We’ll actually see snow totals increase as
you head south, with the bulls-eye area ranging from Maryland into South
Jersey. Just 48-72 hours ago, the models
agreed on a big snowfall over North/Central Jersey, but that has shifted well
south, and that is why we have the predicted snow totals that we have today.
Anyway, this storm
is essentially moving from west to east, and a relatively narrow band of
heavier snow will move through the region.
This band has been heavily influenced by the polar vortex over Canada,
which has suppressed the biggest snowfall estimates to the south. Therefore, we’ll likely see a sharp cutoff
toward Central/North Jersey where areas see up to a half of a foot of snow and
others see almost nothing. Any change in storm track, no matter how small, from what is expected will alter snowfall totals. In summary,
the further north that you go, the less snow that you will see. Behind this system, expect very cold
temperatures, which has been the other story of this winter along with the high
seasonal snowfall.
Timing
The duration of
this storm has greatly decreased for New Jersey, at least. Scattered rain/snow showers this afternoon
will move across the region, then the main bulk of the snow moves in this
evening. Snow will continue throughout
the night and into the morning and begin to end from northwest to
southeast. The last of the snowfall will
likely taper off by the afternoon hours of Monday.
Final Call Snowfall Map
No comments:
Post a Comment