Unfortunately, this snowstorm was a
‘surprise’ for many, despite the best model (EURO) having it within its
cross-hairs since Wednesday. Regardless,
this storm will be similar to the earlier January snowstorm with up to a foot
of snow and very cold temperatures expected.
This storm will bring bitter cold temperatures, negative wind chills,
plenty of snow, and some gusty winds.
Temperatures and Wind
First, tomorrow will see plummeting
temperatures as they near 20° throughout the day, then drop to around 10°
overnight, with wind chills below 0° or even approaching -10°. Temperatures for Wednesday will remain in the
teens will not make it above 30° until Saturday, most likely. Furthermore, the winds that will be creating
these severe wind chills will be occurring tomorrow and into tomorrow night, as
they gust up to 30mph.
Timing
Snow showers begin to move in
around the mid- to late-morning hours tomorrow from the south and west to the
north and east. The main bulk of snow
occurs during the afternoon and into the evening. The snow tapers off overnight during the
early Wednesday morning hours.
Snowfall
Finally, snowfall amounts are
pretty much a general 6-12” across the state, except extreme Northwestern New
Jersey, where they will likely be clipped by the storm but will still receive
very measurable snow. I placed a swath
of 8-14”+ snowfall along the I-95 corridor and to the south and east where the
heaviest snow and banding is likely to occur.
I added in the ‘+’ because some information is pointing to the
possibility of over a foot of snow in some regions of NJ, likely within this
area. One model and its runs are saying,
for example, that Northeast Philadelphia Airport could receive up to 20” of
snow, so that cannot be completely ignored or ruled out. Therefore, I believe that there is a chance
that this storm really goes ‘BOOM’ over southern and central New Jersey.
My Projected Snowfall Map
